League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
4 - 0
Port Vale

Bodin (10', 62'), Taylor (27', 66')
Henry (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Robinson (35'), Conlon (39'), Harrison (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Exeter
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Port Vale

Port Vale have won or drawn four of the last five matches they have played away from home, while Oxford have lost four of the last five fixtures they have hosted at the Kassam Stadium. The Valiants have also scored in each of their last eight games in all competitions, so we think they will have enough to edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Port Vale
48.22% ( -0.13)	24.97% ( 0.02)	26.82% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 53.56% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.79%

49.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.73%

71.27%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56% (

-0.05)

20.44% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.11% (

-0.09)

52.89% (

0.09)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32% (

0.08)

32.68% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78% (

0.09)

69.23% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 48.21%

Port Vale 26.82%

Draw 24.97%

Oxford United	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.21%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.82%