League One

League One | 1st Leg

May 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

(Sunderland win 2-1 on aggregate)

Stewart (45+1')
O'Nien (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luongo (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Sunderland and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

Last Six:

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85
5	Sunderland	46	26	84
6	Wycombe Wanderers	46	24	83

Sheffield Wednesday

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Sunderland
Monday, May 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	MK Dons	46	34	89
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85
5	Sunderland	46	26	84

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Sunderland might believe that they need an advantage to take into the second leg due to Wednesday's excellent home form, but we are struggling to separate the two teams here. There is not an awful lot between them in terms of quality, and the two could cancel each other out in a 1-1 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
46.49%	25.39%	28.12%

Both teams to score 53.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87%

50.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91%

72.1%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.44%

21.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35%

54.65%

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85%

32.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37%

68.63%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 46.49%

Sheffield Wednesday 28.12%

Draw 25.39%

Sunderland	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.49%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.87% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.12%