League Two

League Two | Gameweek 39

Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47

Bristol Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 7-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Exeter City	46	24	84
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both teams head into this match in vastly different league positions, but they are in great form, picking up results on a regular basis, while they have defended well. They have each been picking up clean sheets as of late, and that could lead to this match being quite a closely-contested one that the visitors will likely just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
30.11%	26.74%	43.14%

Both teams to score 50.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.42%

54.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.08%

75.92%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02%

32.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44%

69.56%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92%

25.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23%

59.77%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 30.11%

Bristol Rovers 43.13%

Draw 26.74%

Carlisle United	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.11%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 7.91% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.13%