League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 2
Sutton

Omotoye (52')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Olaofe (23'), Ajiboye (31')
Milsom (55'), Olaofe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Sutton United

Sutton should be able to carry on their forward momentum by collecting another three points on Saturday, taking advantage of any lost confidence for Carlisle due to their heavy defeat last weekend. The hosts have not been very prolific in front of goal this season and that will play into the hands of Sutton, who will be looking to keep a clean sheet for a third straight game in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sutton United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sutton United.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Sutton United
34.27%	28.9%	36.83%

Both teams to score 45.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.47%

61.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.61%

81.39%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32%

33.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66%

70.34%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68%

32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54%

68.46%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 34.26%

Sutton United 36.83%

Draw 28.89%

Carlisle United	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.26%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 12.28% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.83%