League Two

League Two | Gameweek 34

Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
2 - 5
Carlisle

Oteh (50'), Telford (84')
Telford (61')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Senior (15'), Patrick (20'), Moxon (26'), Feeney (38'), Mellish (57')
Moxon (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Carlisle United
29.4% ( -0.19)	26.29% ( -0.25)	44.3% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89% (

0.9)

53.11% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31% (

0.76)

74.69% (

-0.76)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

0.33)

32.74% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

0.37)

69.3% (

-0.37)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

0.61)

23.85% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

0.87)

58.04% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 29.4%

Carlisle United 44.3%

Draw 26.28%

Crawley Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.4%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.3%