League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Wetherby Road

Harrogate
1 - 4
Swindon

Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Rochdale	46	-8	53
19	Harrogate Town	46	-11	53
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Port Vale	46	21	78
6	Swindon Town	46	23	77
7	Mansfield Town	46	15	77

We said: Harrogate Town 1-2 Swindon Town

You cannot question the desire or work ethic of Harrogate Town, but unfortunately, it will take more than that to slow down a team with the depth of Swindon, who can count on a variety of attacking threats. Sulphirites have conceded the second-most goals in the league this season (65), which does not bode well when you face a side like the Robins, who have scored the third-most (62). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Swindon Town
33.53%	25.82%	40.65%

Both teams to score 54.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25%

49.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.25%

71.75%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77%

28.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07%

63.93%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.81%

24.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.48%

58.52%

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 33.53%

Swindon Town 40.65%

Draw 25.81%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.53%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.88% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.65%