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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
29.58% ( -0.12) | 26.61% ( -0.03) | 43.81% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.71% ( 0.08) | 54.29% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.32% ( 0.06) | 75.68% ( -0.06) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.77% ( -0.05) | 33.22% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% ( -0.05) | 69.84% ( 0.05) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( 0.11) | 24.62% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.87% ( 0.16) | 59.12% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |