League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 1
Morecambe

Amond (11'), Dolan (83' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mendes Gomes (32')
Davis (30'), Hendrie (34'), Phillips (68')
Hendrie (82')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Morecambe
52.54%	26.12%	21.34%

Both teams to score 44.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91%

58.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24%

78.76%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77%

22.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35%

55.65%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41%

42.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.05%

78.95%

Score Analysis

Newport County 52.53%

Morecambe 21.34%

Draw 26.12%

Newport County	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 14.23% 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 4.58% 4-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.53%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.08% 1-2 @ 5.19% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.11% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.34%