Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
2 - 0
Montpellier

Minamino (9'), Ben Yedder (90+2')
Vanderson (20'), Golovin (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (45'), Chotard (84'), Tchato (90')
Kouyate (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Monaco 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier have had their struggles defensively away from home, conceding multiple goals in three of their domestic road fixtures this season. As poor as Les Monegasques were defensively last Friday, we expect their quality attacking players to take their frustrations out on La Paillade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Montpellier HSC
58.1% ( 0.88)	21.22% ( -0.43)	20.68% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 58.8% (

0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.13% (

1.37)

38.86% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.82% (

1.42)

61.18% (

-1.42)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.84% (

0.71)

13.16% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.15% (

1.43)

39.85% (

-1.43)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

0.35)

32.29% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

0.4)

68.79% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Monaco 58.1%

Montpellier HSC 20.68%

Draw 21.22%

Monaco	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.63% Total : 58.1%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.22%	1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.45% Total : 20.68%