Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 9, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
0 - 2
Monaco

Esteve (11'), Jullien (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
Henrique (26'), Badiashile (65'), Camara (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Monaco

Montpellier have the home advantage in this match, and that is something that could prove to be vital for them as they look to start climbing the league table. However, because Monaco are in stronger form at the moment, and are coming off the back of a big victory they will be the favourites to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
23.63% ( -0.04)	22.8% ( -0)	53.56% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 57.48% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.47% (

-0.04)

42.53% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-0.03)

64.93% (

0.03)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31% (

-0.06)

31.69% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.89% (

-0.06)

68.1% (

0.06)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14%

15.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.94% (

45.06% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 23.64%

Monaco 53.56%

Draw 22.8%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 23.64%	1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.77% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.56%