Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma

De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Marseille
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta often falter against other teams in Serie A's top six, while Roma are rarely at their best away from home. Following intense Europa League semi-finals, both will also be weary, so this crucial contest could end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Roma
55.32% ( -0.32)	23.33% ( 0.12)	21.35% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58% (

-0.25)

47.43% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36% (

-0.23)

69.64% (

0.23)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

-0.2)

17% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89% (

-0.36)

47.12% (

0.37)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.49% (

0.06)

36.51% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.71% (

0.06)

73.29% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 55.32%

Roma 21.35%

Draw 23.33%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 55.32%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.35%