Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Atalanta BC |
20.17% ( 1.06) | 22.88% ( 1.01) | 56.95% ( -2.07) |
Both teams to score 52.38% ( -1.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( -2.89) | 46.99% ( 2.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.77% ( -2.75) | 69.23% ( 2.75) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% ( -0.55) | 37.45% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% ( -0.54) | 74.23% ( 0.55) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.74% ( -1.67) | 16.27% ( 1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.2% ( -3.12) | 45.81% ( 3.13) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.17% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.87% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 10.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.41) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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