Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 15, 2023 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
8 - 2
Salernitana

Boga (5'), Lookman (20' pen., 54'), Scalvini (23'), Koopmeiners (38'), Hojlund (41'), Ederson (61'), Zortea (85')
Koopmeiners (30')

FT(HT: 5-1)

Dia (10'), Nicolussi (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 1-2 Atalanta
Monday, January 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Torino
Sunday, January 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Salernitana

During the opening 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season, Salernitana have shipped the joint-most goals (six), but they cannot afford a slow start on Sunday. There are some signs Atalanta may be clicking back into gear following the winter break, and the hosts can punish any slip-ups from a vulnerable away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 8-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Salernitana
66.7% ( -0.63)	19.86% ( 0.28)	13.43% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 47.79% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

-0.42)

45.77% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

-0.4)

68.08% (

0.4)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.19% (

-0.31)

12.8% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.87% (

-0.63)

39.12% (

0.63)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.81% (

0.28)

45.19% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.91% (

0.22)

81.08% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 66.69%

Salernitana 13.43%

Draw 19.86%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 66.69%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.86%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.43%