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DC United
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
New York Red Bulls

DC United
1 - 4
NY Red Bulls

Bartlett (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Manoel (45+2'), Harper (52'), Morgan (57'), Burke (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-2 New England
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-2 New York Red Bulls

Both these sides have been in good goal-scoring from this season and are coming off positive results over the weekend. Based on recent form, this looks like a very even match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to separate the sides at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.13% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.46% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)44.44% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)66.82% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)17.06% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)47.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)32.04% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)68.51% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    DC United 52.13%
    New York Red Bulls 24.46%
    Draw 23.41%
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 52.13%
1-1 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.46%

How you voted: DC United vs NY Red Bulls

DC United
41.7%
Draw
16.7%
New York Red Bulls
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-5
NY Red Bulls
Benteke (21', 36', 45+2' pen.)
Canouse (25'), Hines-Ike (55'), Benteke (83')
Fernandez (17', 44'), Harper (45+5'), Nealis (58'), Tolkin (90+3')
Duncan (64'), Nealis (66')
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-0
DC United
Tolkin (88')
Yearwood (44'), Reyes (78'), Duncan (82')

Durkin (36'), Williams (54')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
May 29, 2022 12am
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 42
DC United
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Paredes (9')
Moreno (36'), Najar (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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