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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
DC United

Atlanta
2 - 3
DC United

Almada (16' pen.), Peltola (48' og.)
Slisz (30'), Almada (45+2'), Giakoumakis (70'), Abram (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Benteke (19', 44', 55')
Dajome (38'), Antley (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 DC United

Both teams are quite evenly matched heading into this weekend and that should lead to a competitive and closely contested match. With little between them in the league and with their recent form, it would not be a surprise to see them share the points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for DC United had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
65.12% (5.832 5.83) 19.27% (-1.931 -1.93) 15.61% (-3.895 -3.9)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-1.304 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.65% (2.126 2.13)38.35% (-2.12 -2.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (2.222 2.22)60.63% (-2.216 -2.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (2.274 2.27)11.05% (-2.269 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (4.784 4.78)35.4% (-4.778 -4.78)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (-3.143 -3.14)37.51% (3.149 3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (-3.22 -3.22)74.3% (3.224 3.22)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 65.12%
    DC United 15.61%
    Draw 19.27%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDC United
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.749 0.75)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.38% (1.133 1.13)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.564 0.56)
4-0 @ 4.07% (0.917 0.92)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.622 0.62)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.158 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.521 0.52)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.4 0.4)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.12%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.903 -0.9)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.472 -0.47)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.875 -0.88)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.825 -0.82)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.619 -0.62)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.439 -0.44)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.61%

How you voted: Atlanta vs DC United

Atlanta United
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
DC United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
3-1
DC United
Giakoumakis (13'), Gutman (49'), Wolff (73')
Fortune (41'), Pineda (42'), Giakoumakis (83')
Fountas (27')
Pines (51'), Birnbaum (69'), Klich (89')
Aug 28, 2022 9pm
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Franco (49'), Martinez (62'), Sanchez (70')
Sanchez (18')
Morrison (47'), Kamara (55')
Rooney (45+3')
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-1
Atlanta
Canouse (34'), Djeffal (38')
Campbell (33'), Conway (81'), Almada (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Atlanta
3-2
DC United
Barco (18'), Martinez (64'), Bello (87')
Franco (65'), Araujo (81')
Felipe (75'), Flores (90+4')
Brillant (27'), Moreno (34'), Paredes (50'), Alfaro (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City168351916327
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1633102334-1112
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511


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