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Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
3 - 0
Chicago Fire

Giakoumakis (45'), Thiare (64', 90+5')
Wiley (50'), Lennon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herbers (66')
Teran (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Atlanta
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: New England 1-1 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 23 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-0 Chicago Fire

 With Atlanta likely to be at full strength in the attack, we expect them to tear through a Fire backline that have been rather leaky, and a striker with the quality of Giakoumakis rarely misses the chances presented to him. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
58.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 21.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 57.63% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (0.083000000000006 0.08)40.28% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.34% (0.083000000000006 0.08)62.65% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)13.65% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17% (0.060000000000002 0.06)40.83% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (0.051000000000002 0.05)33.25% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)69.87% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.01%
    Chicago Fire 20.52%
    Draw 21.47%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.47%
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Chicago Fire
20.0%
10
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Atlanta
Sanchez (42' og.), Haile-Selassie (49'), Koutsias (89')
Navarro (3'), Herbers (45+2'), Gutierrez (58'), Czichos (87')
Navarro (26')
Gutman (29'), Giakoumakis (55', 65')
Ibarra (41'), Araujo (69'), Diop (90')
Araujo (71')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Chicago Fire
Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Przybylko (90')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta
Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')
Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2021 1am
Gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')
Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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