Major League Soccer

May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
3 - 3
Atlanta

Sanchez (42' og.), Haile-Selassie (49'), Koutsias (89')
Navarro (3'), Herbers (45+2'), Gutierrez (58'), Czichos (87')
Navarro (26')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gutman (29'), Giakoumakis (55', 65')
Ibarra (41'), Araujo (69'), Diop (90')
Araujo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 4-0 Colorado
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Atlanta United

With the two most porous teams in the MLS going head-to-head, we are anticipating an exciting affair and goals at both ends. That said, we just about fancy Chicago Fire to come out on top in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Atlanta United
47.87% ( 0)	24.43% ( -0)	27.7% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.67% (

0.01)

46.32% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.39% (

0.01)

68.61% (

-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

19.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.73% (

0.01)

51.26% (

-0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.51% (

0.01)

30.48% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.3% (

0.01)

66.7% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 47.87%

Atlanta United 27.7%

Draw 24.43%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 47.87%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.04% Total : 27.7%