Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
52.23% ( -0.1) | 22.94% ( 0.08) | 24.83% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.38% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% ( -0.32) | 41.96% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% ( -0.32) | 64.37% ( 0.32) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.88% ( -0.15) | 16.12% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.46% ( -0.27) | 45.54% ( 0.27) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% ( -0.15) | 30.4% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% ( -0.18) | 66.6% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 24.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |