Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
45.3% ( 1.1) | 23.54% ( 0.55) | 31.16% ( -1.65) |
Both teams to score 61.38% ( -2.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% ( -3.41) | 40.25% ( 3.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% ( -3.6) | 62.62% ( 3.6) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% ( -0.92) | 18.07% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51% ( -1.59) | 48.99% ( 1.58) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( -2.61) | 25.08% ( 2.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( -3.74) | 59.76% ( 3.74) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.96) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.71% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.68) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |