Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.63% ( -0.13) | 23.89% ( -0.02) | 32.48% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 60.76% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.68% ( 0.16) | 41.32% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.28% ( 0.16) | 63.72% ( -0.16) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( 0.01) | 19.2% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% ( 0.02) | 50.88% ( -0.02) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( 0.16) | 24.79% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.63% ( 0.23) | 59.37% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 27 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 12 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |