Sweden's shoddy Euro 2024 qualifying performance says little about the individual quality of Tomasson's troops - especially in the final third - and the visitors can play with the handbrake off against their near neighbours. As such, Denmark's remarkable streak of clean sheets in friendly home games may cease to exist by the close of play on Wednesday, but Hjulmand's men should strike back themselves to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 10.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Sweden
74.64% ( 0.14)	15.34% ( -0.08)	10.02% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.35% (

0.25)

33.65% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.53% (

0.28)

55.47% (

-0.27)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.38% (

0.09)

7.63% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.75% (

0.22)

27.25% (

-0.22)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.96% (

0.06)

43.04% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.68% (

0.05)

79.32% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Denmark 74.63%

Sweden 10.02%

Draw 15.34%

Denmark	Draw	Sweden
2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 6% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 74.63%	1-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.34%	1-2 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 10.02%