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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Oct 28, 2023 at 10pm UK
Subaru Park
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
3 - 1
New England

Gazdag (19' pen.), Uhre (26'), Harriel (37')
Andres Martinez (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bou (68')
Wood (29'), Farrell (35'), Chancalay (37'), Vrioni (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: New England 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New England Revolution

 The Union were unbeaten in 16 of their 17 MLS home contests this season, conceding just 13 goals over that stretch, and they are more than accustomed to handling these pressure situations. New England may have won their previous playoff matchup at Subaru Park (1-0 in 2020), but they leave too many gaps in behind, which the home side should be able to exploit.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
56% (1.084 1.08) 22.62% (0.289 0.29) 21.38% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 55.07% (-2.896 -2.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-2.937 -2.94)44.31% (2.945 2.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-2.915 -2.92)66.69% (2.922 2.92)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)15.66% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-1.233 -1.23)44.69% (1.241 1.24)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.29% (-2.896 -2.9)34.72% (2.903 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.56% (-3.191 -3.19)71.45% (3.198 3.2)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 55.99%
    New England Revolution 21.38%
    Draw 22.62%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.07% (1.019 1.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.757 0.76)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.345 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.33 -0.33)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.665 0.67)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.287 0.29)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 21.38%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
New England Revolution
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Bou (25' pen., 41')
Carranza (16')
Harriel (7'), Lowe (23'), Wagner (24'), Carranza (90+2')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
New England
Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')
> Preview
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
> Preview
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
> Preview
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 32
Philadelphia
0-1
New England
Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
> Full Version


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