CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 1, 2024 at 1.15am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
3 - 0
Independiente

(New England Revolution win 4-0 on aggregate)

Gil (8'), Chancalay (58'), Kaye (90+3')
Vrioni (20')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Modelo (39')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between New England Revolution and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: DC United 3-1 New England
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Independiente

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Independiente 0-1 Racing
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 57.81%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 21.66% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Independiente win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Independiente
57.81% ( -0.17)	20.53% ( 0.05)	21.66% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 62.91% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.82% (

-0.06)

34.18% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.93% (

-0.06)

56.07% (

0.07)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.25% (

-0.06)

11.75% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.1% (

-0.14)

36.9% (

0.14)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

0.08)

28.71% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

0.1)

64.54% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 57.81%

Independiente 21.66%

Draw 20.53%

New England Revolution	Draw	Independiente
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 57.81%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.53%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 21.66%