Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
43.18% ( -1.68) | 23.79% ( 0.22) | 33.03% ( 1.46) |
Both teams to score 61.34% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.34% ( -0.46) | 40.66% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.95% ( -0.48) | 63.04% ( 0.48) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( -0.89) | 19.12% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.24% ( -1.49) | 50.76% ( 1.49) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( 0.64) | 24.16% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( 0.9) | 58.47% ( -0.91) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.33% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |