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Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Cincinnati

New England
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Vrioni (62')
Harkes (48'), Jones (83'), Vrioni (90+4'), Gil (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kubo (52'), Acosta (54')
Yedlin (63'), Orellano (69'), Acosta (72'), Bucha (85'), Boupendza (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Cincinnati
Friday, March 15 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New England Revolution 1-3 FC Cincinnati

It seems to be taking the Revs longer than expected to adjust to the Caleb Porter way of playing, and they could still be figuring things out on Sunday. Defensively in 2024, Cincinnati have been a lot more compact and organised, and we believe a player with the vision and creativity of Acosta will find a way to expose a leaky Revs backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
48.46% (0.58600000000001 0.59) 23.35% (-0.203 -0.2) 28.19% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 60.1% (0.422 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (0.687 0.69)41.1% (-0.688 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (0.695 0.7)63.49% (-0.69700000000001 -0.7)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (0.485 0.48)17.17% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.57% (0.85 0.85)47.43% (-0.851 -0.85)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.56% (0.084999999999994 0.08)27.44% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.112 0.11)62.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 48.46%
    FC Cincinnati 28.19%
    Draw 23.35%
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: New England vs Cincinnati

New England Revolution
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
FC Cincinnati
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
New England
Badji (11', 55')
Nwobodo (36')
Badji (15' og.), Bou (24')
Gil (51'), Blessing (52')
Apr 30, 2023 12.30am
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
New England
2-2
Cincinnati
Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Kessler (41' og.)
May 22, 2022 12.20am
Cincinnati
2-3
New England
Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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