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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
FC Cincinnati

New England
2 - 2
Cincinnati

Borrero (30'), Bou (55')
Bou (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kessler (41' og.), Brenner (73')
Powell (44'), Acosta (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 New England
Monday, June 27 at 1am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-4 NY City
Thursday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 3-2 FC Cincinnati

 We saw this week how far Cincinnati have come under their new coach, and, at the same time, how far they still have to go to be an elite team in this league, as they still lack structure on the back end, allowing the most goals in the Eastern Conference (30) this season. By no means are the Revs the most rugged defensive unit out there, but we expect their attacking depth collectively will be just a cut above Cincinnati. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
66.24% (-1.046 -1.05) 19.43% (0.524 0.52) 14.33% (0.52 0.52)
Both teams to score 51.68% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (-1.252 -1.25)41.86% (1.251 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (-1.274 -1.27)64.26% (1.271 1.27)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (-0.639 -0.64)11.77% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.04% (-1.385 -1.39)36.96% (1.382 1.38)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)41.43% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.038 -0.04)77.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 66.23%
    FC Cincinnati 14.33%
    Draw 19.43%
New England RevolutionDrawFC Cincinnati
2-0 @ 11.16% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.96% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.082 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 66.23%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.271 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.43%
0-1 @ 4.3% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.33%

How you voted: New England vs Cincinnati

New England Revolution
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
FC Cincinnati
0.0%
7
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 12.20am
Cincinnati
2-3
New England
Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
New England
4-1
Cincinnati
Buchanan (7'), Boateng (21'), Buksa (33', 61')
McNamara (68'), Buchanan (73'), Farrell (86')
Brenner (54')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Cincinnati
0-1
New England

Stanko (9'), Kubo (69')
Buksa (70')
Buchanan (33'), Kessler (66')
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
P-P
New England
Apr 12, 2020 12.30am
New England
P-P
Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
> Full Version


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