Major League Soccer

May 15, 2022 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Duran (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	DC United	13	-7	14
9	Sporting Kansas City	15	-9	13
10	Chicago Fire	14	-7	11

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 FC Cincinnati

Both of these teams are enjoying vastly different seasons right now, and because of that they should be heading into the match with opposing levels of confidence. Chicago Fire could end up at the foot of the table with a defeat, and the visitors should be able to secure a routine win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	FC Cincinnati
55.9%	24.04%	20.06%

Both teams to score 48.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.13%

51.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.37%

73.62%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58%

18.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.42%

49.57%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.62%

40.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23%

76.99%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 55.89%

FC Cincinnati 20.06%

Draw 24.04%

Chicago Fire	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 12.58% 2-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.89%	1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.74% 1-2 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.06%