La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 0
Mallorca

Griezmann (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Villarreal
Sunday, November 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, November 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca

Mallorca are capable of making this a tricky match, with the visitors drawing half of their league games this season. Atletico are so strong at home, though, and we are expecting them to record their 10th league victory of the campaign this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
71.27% ( 0.03)	17.75% ( -0.01)	10.98% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.14% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.47% (

-0.04)

42.53% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.07% (

-0.04)

64.93% (

0.05)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.36% (

-0)

10.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.53% (

-0.01)

34.47% (

0.01)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.75% (

-0.08)

47.24% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.33% (

-0.06)

82.67% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 71.26%

Mallorca 10.98%

Draw 17.75%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 71.26%	1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.75%	0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 10.98%