La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Nov 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Mallorca
1 - 0
Atletico

Muriqi (16')
Baba (26'), Kang-in (36'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Grenier (90+3'), Valjent (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Molina (15'), De Paul (34'), Correa (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, November 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Espanyol
Sunday, November 6 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Atletico Madrid

We are expecting an extremely tight game, as the in-form hosts battle it out with inconsistent, yet technically superior opponents. We can certainly see Mallorca scoring, given the chaos that Muriqi's presence can often cause, but Simeone's men desperately need to snap their streak and have more than enough talent to do so here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Atletico Madrid
25.97% ( 0.11)	27.56% ( 0.11)	46.47% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 45.37% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.47% (

-0.29)

59.53% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.12% (

-0.23)

79.88% (

0.23)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.02% (

-0.06)

38.98% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.3% (

-0.06)

75.7% (

0.06)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35% (

-0.24)

25.65% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45% (

-0.32)

60.55% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 25.97%

Atletico Madrid 46.47%

Draw 27.55%

Mallorca	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.97%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.47%