La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 6, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 1
Espanyol

Felix (78')
Kondogbia (59'), Gimenez (83'), Felix (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Darder (62')
Olivan (34'), Braithwaite (53'), Lecomte (74'), Vidal (85'), El Hilali (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Espanyol
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Espanyol

It has not been easy to predict Atletico Madrid this season, but this one feels like too big a game for Diego Simeone's men to lose. Their visitors are notoriously poor travellers, aside from one shock victory, and should not cause too many problems for Los Colchoneros as they look to get back on the winning trail after a tough couple of weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Espanyol
67.12% ( -0.02)	20.7% ( 0.01)	12.18% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 41.81% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.08% (

-0.02)

51.92% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33% (

-0.02)

73.67% (

0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.4% (

-0.01)

14.6% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.31% (

-0.03)

42.69% (

0.03)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.95% (

0.01)

51.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.63% (

85.37% (

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 67.1%

Espanyol 12.18%

Draw 20.7%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 13.79% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.1%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.12% Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.7%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 12.18%