League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 2
Bolton

McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Wycombe 2-4 Barnsley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton Wanderers

Both teams will be desperate to claim all three points to aid their promotion bids, but after playing out a draw in February's reverse fixture, we think that the two closely-matched sides may have to settle for a share of the spoils once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
39.71% ( -0.12)	25.37% ( -0.06)	34.92% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 56.23% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46% (

0.31)

47.54% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.26% (

0.29)

69.74% (

-0.28)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

0.08)

23.68% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.2% (

0.11)

57.8% (

-0.1)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68% (

0.26)

26.32% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55% (

0.35)

61.45% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 39.71%

Bolton Wanderers 34.92%

Draw 25.37%

Barnsley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.71%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.92%