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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
48.86% ( -2.19) | 22.78% ( 0.35) | 28.35% ( 1.83) |
Both teams to score 62.3% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.74% ( -0.27) | 38.25% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( -0.28) | 60.53% ( 0.27) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( -0.86) | 15.95% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.76% ( -1.6) | 45.23% ( 1.59) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 1.12) | 25.87% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( 1.5) | 60.85% ( -1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |