Despite Monaco's superior match sharpness, they may be on the receiving end of a marginal defeat at the hands of Bayern. The goals have flowed in these teams' pre-season games, and a high-scoring affair could be on the cards yet again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Monaco
57.39% ( -1.57)	20.25% ( 0.4)	22.36% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 65.03% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.12% (

-0.37)

31.88% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.57% (

-0.43)

53.42% (

0.43)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86% (

-0.52)

11.14% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.42% (

-1.15)

35.58% (

1.15)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

0.76)

26.81% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

0.98)

62.11% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 57.39%

Monaco 22.36%

Draw 20.25%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) 4-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.39%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.25%	1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.8% Total : 22.36%