Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
56.96% ( 0.03) | 21.73% ( -0.02) | 21.31% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% ( 0.06) | 40.39% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% ( 0.06) | 62.77% ( -0.06) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( 0.03) | 14.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.45% ( 0.05) | 41.55% ( -0.06) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( 0.02) | 32.56% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( 0.02) | 69.1% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 21.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |