Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Torino |
43.32% ( 0.3) | 28.86% ( 0.14) | 27.81% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 43.17% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.08% ( -0.63) | 62.91% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.59% ( -0.46) | 82.4% ( 0.46) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.12% ( -0.14) | 28.88% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.25% ( -0.18) | 64.75% ( 0.18) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% ( -0.71) | 39.3% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% ( -0.67) | 76% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 43.32% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.47% Total : 27.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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