Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
3 - 1
Luton

Maupay (49'), Mee (56'), Baptiste (81')
Norgaard (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brown (76')
Kaminski (38'), Chong (50')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford snap a two-game losing run in the Premier League with a 3-1 victory over Luton Town at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Luton Town
45.27% ( 0.1)	25.59% ( 0)	29.14% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 53.24% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.59% (

-0.07)

50.41% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.65% (

-0.07)

72.34% (

0.07)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76% (

0.02)

22.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.33% (

0.02)

55.67% (

-0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

-0.11)

31.54% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

-0.13)

67.93% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Brentford 45.27%

Luton Town 29.14%

Draw 25.58%

Brentford	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.27%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.14%