Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Crystal Palace |
38.41% ( -0) | 25.85% ( 0) | 35.73% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.41% ( -0) | 49.58% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.39% | 71.61% ( 0) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( -0) | 25.29% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% ( -0) | 60.06% ( 0.01) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% ( 0) | 26.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% ( 0) | 62.1% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.41% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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