Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton |
71.85% ( -0.2) | 17.43% ( 0.17) | 10.72% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.32% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.7) | 41.79% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.71) | 64.2% ( 0.71) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.71% ( -0.24) | 10.29% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.3% ( -0.54) | 33.69% ( 0.54) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.75% ( -0.41) | 47.25% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.32% ( -0.31) | 82.68% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton |
2-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 71.84% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 17.43% | 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 10.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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