Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 3
AC Milan

Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Cagliari
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, September 23 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cagliari 0-3 AC Milan

Given that Cagliari have scored just one goal across five games without tasting victory this season, we expect AC Milan to cruise to a comfortable victory at the Unipol Domus on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
36.24%	27.31%	36.44% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.4% (

-0)

55.59% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.24% (

-0)

76.76% (

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

-0)

29.39% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

-0)

65.38% (

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

-0)

29.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

-0.01)

65.23% (

Score Analysis

Cagliari 36.24%

AC Milan 36.44%

Draw 27.31%

Cagliari	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.24%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.44%