Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
2 - 1
Bologna

Petagna (31'), Calafiori (69' og.)
Dossena (45+2'), Nandez (45+2'), Wieteska (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Orsolini (24')
Posch (3'), Calafiori (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Bologna (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna's recent struggles have been there for all to see, and while goals have been hard to come by at the best of times, Zirkzee's absence will only enhance this problem. Facing a side chasing the European places, any result will be a positive for Cagliari, who must now accept they are deep in a relegation battle, and the target will be to remain outside of the bottom three come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Bologna
46.01% ( 0.37)	26.24% ( -0.01)	27.75% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24% (

-0.13)

53.76% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

-0.11)

75.24% (

0.12)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68% (

0.11)

23.32% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.73% (

0.17)

57.27% (

-0.16)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

-0.35)

34.36% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.37)

71.06% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 46.01%

Bologna 27.75%

Draw 26.24%

Cagliari	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.01%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.75%