Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan4 - 1Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 3-1 Cagliari
Given Cagliari's defensive deficiencies - clearly apparent when losing at home to Milan earlier this season - and their lack of fortitude when on the road, even a much-changed Milan side should safely secure a place in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
58.43% ( 0) | 22.52% ( -0) | 19.04% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.98% ( 0.01) | 47.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.74% ( 0.01) | 69.26% ( -0.01) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% ( 0) | 15.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.1% ( 0.01) | 44.9% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.33% ( 0) | 38.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.59% ( 0) | 75.41% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan 58.43%
Cagliari 19.04%
Draw 22.52%
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.04% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Cagliari
AC Milan
90.5%Draw
4.8%Cagliari
4.8%84
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-05 08:11:23
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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