Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
29.6% ( 0.04) | 25.1% ( -0.01) | 45.3% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% ( 0.04) | 48.12% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% ( 0.03) | 70.29% ( -0.03) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( 0.05) | 30.03% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% ( 0.05) | 66.16% ( -0.05) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.73% | 21.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.81% ( -0) | 54.19% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 29.6% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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