Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 31, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
0 - 3
Toulouse

Caufriez (6'), Armougom (45+5'), M'Bahia (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sierro (8' pen., 79'), Dallinga (73')
Sierro (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Lyon
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Clermont 0-1 Toulouse

Clermont have put just two wins on the board from 13 home games this season, and as Toulouse pose far more of a goal threat, the visitors should drag themselves further clear of the drop zone; deepening their hosts' danger. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Toulouse
35.4% ( -0.55)	25.94% ( -0.16)	38.66% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02% (

0.68)

49.97% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

0.6)

71.96% (

-0.6)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0)

27.19% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0)

62.6% (

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

0.71)

25.34% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

0.96)

60.13% (

-0.96)

Score Analysis

Clermont 35.4%

Toulouse 38.66%

Draw 25.93%

Clermont	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.66%