Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
58.93% ( 3.29) | 21.5% ( -1.28) | 19.56% ( -2.02) |
Both teams to score 55.92% ( 1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( 3) | 41.79% ( -3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( 2.96) | 64.2% ( -2.96) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.14% ( 2.09) | 13.86% ( -2.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.74% ( 3.97) | 41.25% ( -3.97) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.91% ( -0.29) | 35.08% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.17% ( -0.3) | 71.83% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.51) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.46) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.26) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.26) Other @ 3.12% Total : 58.93% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.69) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.76) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |