Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
0 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-0)

Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
Akliouche (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco are the third-highest scorers in Ligue 1 this season having scored 25 goals across their 13 matches. Toulouse have shipped seven goals in their last three outings, and we think Monaco will have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Monaco
36.48% ( 0.04)	23.67% ( 0.01)	39.85% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 62.65% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.7% (

-0.03)

39.3% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.37% (

-0.04)

61.63% (

0.04)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

0.01)

21.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21% (

0.01)

54.79% (

-0.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97% (

-0.04)

20.02% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.77% (

-0.06)

52.23% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 36.48%

Monaco 39.85%

Draw 23.66%

Toulouse	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.48%	1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.85%