Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadium Municipal

Toulouse
2 - 2
Strasbourg

Rouault (44'), Dejaegere (55')
Nicolaisen (40')
Nicolaisen (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mothiba (65'), Gameiro (73')
Lienard (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Angers
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Lille
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Toulouse 3-1 Strasbourg

With this being their second-best attacking start to a Ligue 1 season in 28 years, Toulouse have found their form in attack after a sluggish start, and could take advantage of a Strasbourg defence drained of confidence. With Stephan now facing the prospect of losing his job if Strasbourg do not get out of the relegation zone soon, they must improve rapidly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Strasbourg
45.35% ( 0.32)	24.98% ( -0.07)	29.67% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 55.55% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46% (

0.17)

47.54% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.26% (

0.16)

69.74% (

-0.16)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

0.22)

21% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

0.34)

53.77% (

-0.34)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

-0.09)

29.68% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

-0.11)

65.73% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 45.35%

Strasbourg 29.67%

Draw 24.98%

Toulouse	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.35%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.67%