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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Toulouse

Lyon
1 - 1
Toulouse

Tete (2')
Toko Ekambi (88'), Cherki (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ratao (67')
Dallinga (4'), Aboukhlal (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Toulouse

Even with the Groupama faithful behind them, backing a depleted Lyon side to get the job done with any real confidence is a difficult ask, although it is important to note that all four of their recent losses have come against teams higher than them in the table. Toulouse may be buoyed by their recent derby success, but keeping things tight at the back away from home has been a sticky point for Les Violets - who will be without their only recognised right-back - and we still have faith in Bosz's side to return to winning ways here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawToulouse
57.92% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 20.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 21.22% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.66% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)38.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (0.021999999999998 0.02)66.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 57.92%
    Toulouse 21.22%
    Draw 20.87%
LyonDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4.05%
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 57.92%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.87%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 21.22%

How you voted: Lyon vs Toulouse

Lyon
84.3%
Draw
8.7%
Toulouse
7.0%
172
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Dec 18, 2019 5.45pm
Lyon
4-1
Toulouse
Traore (2', 57'), Lucas (17'), Terrier (92')
Lucas (24'), Traore (53')
Kone (47')
Nov 2, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Sanogo (15'), Lopes (57' og.)
Goncalves (46'), Kone (82'), Vainqueur (84')
Depay (26', 95'), Dembele (67')
Mar 3, 2019 4pm
Lyon
5-1
Toulouse
Depay (10'), Traore (30'), Fekir (35' pen.), Dembele (67', 71')
Dossevi (15')
Jullien (45'), Cahuzac (56')
Cahuzac (83')
Jan 16, 2019 6pm
Toulouse
2-2
Lyon
Durmaz (12', 74' pen.)
Cahuzac (45'), Moubandje (53'), Jullien (86'), Moreira (90')
Dembele (75'), Fekir (87')
Solet (10'), Depay (45'), Morel (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
RLorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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