Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
2 - 1
Auxerre

Tete (29'), Toko Ekambi (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Autret (80')
Ruiz-Atil (57'), Perrin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Lens	4	5	10
4	Lyon	3	4	7
5	Lorient	3	2	7

Auxerre

Last Six:

Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, August 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Lille	4	-1	7
7	Auxerre	4	-1	7
8	Montpellier HSC	4	4	6

Look for Lyon to be in a foul mood following a sub-par performance over the weekend, as we anticipate their overall quality will step up on Wednesday against one of the early surprises of the top-flight campaign. Auxerre have come a long way since losing their opening fixture, but they defend deep and rarely take chances going forward with fewer than 40% possession in three matches this season, and we do not believe they will be able to contain a Lyon side with so many attacking weapons over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Auxerre
69.67% ( 0.15)	17.37% ( -0.06)	12.96% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.26% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.7% (

0.08)

35.3% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.67% (

0.1)

57.32% (

-0.1)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89% (

0.06)

9.11% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.06% (

0.14)

30.93% (

-0.14)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.8% (

-0.07)

39.2% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.09% (

-0.07)

75.91% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Lyon 69.66%

Auxerre 12.96%

Draw 17.37%

Lyon	Draw	Auxerre
2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 69.66%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.37%	1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 12.96%