Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont
1 - 2
Lyon

Bayo (59')
N'Simba (26'), Rashani (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dembele (26'), Aouar (49')
Henrique (39'), Dembele (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Clermont

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Lorient	38	-28	36
17	Clermont	38	-31	36
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55

Whether they end up on the winning or losing side, Lyon's goal-laden affairs are normally spectacular to watch, and this final-day meeting has a lot to live up to after the previous six-goal stalemate. Neither side has much on the line this weekend, but Bosz's men may have an added incentive to end on a winning note given their disappointments this term, and the free-scoring Gones attack will expect to put Les Lanciers to the sword here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Clermont	Draw	Lyon
25.38%	23.74%	50.87%

Both teams to score 56.25% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95% (

-0)

45.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6% (

-0)

67.4%

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39% (

-0)

31.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99%

68.01% (

-0)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24% (

-0)

17.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.55% (

-0)

48.44%

Score Analysis

Clermont 25.38%

Lyon 50.87%

Draw 23.74%

Clermont	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.73% Total : 25.38%	1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.74%	0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.87%