Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
2 - 1
Lyon

Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

Last Six:

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Lille	38	0	55
11	Brest	38	-8	48
12	Reims	38	-1	46

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55

Lyon have struggled for victories on their travels in Ligue 1 this season, and with their last three away matches in all competitions ending in draws, we think that the visitors will be held to a point by Brest on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lyon
21.38%	22.22%	56.4%

Both teams to score 56.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.48%

42.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.08%

64.91%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29%

33.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64%

70.35%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.09%

14.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.73%

43.27%

Score Analysis

Brest 21.38%

Lyon 56.4%

Draw 22.21%

Brest	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 5.66% 1-0 @ 5.46% 2-0 @ 2.97% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.21% Total : 21.38%	1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.21%	1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-3 @ 5.78% 2-3 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.99% 0-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.82% Total : 56.4%